Wednesday, December 12, 2018

November 2018 CPI

Things continue to move sideways, not providing a strong new signal in either direction.  The next two months will be interesting, because core CPI excluding shelter last December and January totaled about 0.6% (not annualized).  Unless there is a similar statistical jump this year, by the end of January, core CPI will be back under 2% and core CPI excluding shelter will be back down close to 1.0%.  Potentially that could affect sentiment about future rate hikes.

For now, core CPI is 2.2%, Shelter CPI is 3.2%, and core CPI excluding Shelter is 1.5%.

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