Thursday, November 12, 2020

October 2020 Inflation Update

 I haven't updated the inflation numbers for a while.  Covid-19 has probably made it difficult to say too much, because there are so many compositional shifts in the demand basket.  But I think it is worth taking a look at what is happening in rent inflation.

Much of the drop in the stated core CPI number is coming from declining rent inflation (or shelter inflation).  Core inflation excluding shelter is still below 2%, so the Fed has room to goose spending within their mandate.  Trailing 12 month shelter inflation has declined from about 3.4% to 1.7% since the Covid-19 outbreak, and the run-rate may not be positive.

Real-time data suggests that much of this appears to be related to some amount of exodus from expensive cities like San Francisco and New York City.  However, declining CPI-measured rent inflation is pretty evenly distributed among the major metro areas.

There are three periods of sharply declining rents in this period, and it is interesting to compare them.  In 2002-2003, construction was hot and new supply was bringing down rents in cities with elastic supply (Dallas and Atlanta, but not New York and LA).  Then, from 2008-2010, the foreclosure crisis and the sharp tightening in lending markets created a negative demand shock for shelter, driving down rent inflation everywhere.  That was associated with very low rates of construction.

Now, the decline in rent inflation is associated with low but moderately rising construction activity.  If that continues, it would suggest that lower rent inflation is mostly due to income shocks and the specific character of the Covid-19 context, where landlords may be opting for more leniency until the market settles.  If there really is a persistent shift of housing preference into less dense cities and housing units, then that should be associated with rising demand for shelter and more construction, not lower rents.  In that case, there would be a compositional shift out of the expensive cities, and rent inflation might decline as tenants leave the expensive cities (pulling rents there down) and move to cities where new demand is met by supply rather than price inflation.  The fact that rent inflation is currently declining in cities like Phoenix, which we should expect to be the destination for some of those moving tenants, suggests that income shocks are more important now than inter-MSA migration.



57 comments:

  1. Interesting post.

    I suspect several cities will have a big job ahead in improving livability. But then, I thought the same thing back in the 1970s.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
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  18. I am here to explore blogs forum about the wonderful and most safe cure for HERPES SIMPLEX VIRUS . I was positive to the deadly Virus called HERPES and i lost hope completely because i was rejected even by my closet friends. i searched online to know and inquire about cure for HERPES and i saw Dr ERAYO testimony online on how he was cured so many persons from Herpes Disease. so i decided to contact the great herbalist because i know that nature has the power to heal everything. i contacted him to know how he can help me and he told me never to worry that he will help me with the natural herbs from God! after 2 days of contacting him, he told me that the cure has been ready and he sent it to me via FEDEX or DHL and it got to me after 4 days! i used the medicine as he instructed me (MORNING and EVENING) and i was cured! its really like a dream but i'm so happy! that's the reason i decided to also add more comment of Him so that more people can be saved just like me! and if you need his help, contact his Email: (drerayoherbalhome@gmail.com) you can contact him on whatsapp +2348151937428.
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    ReplyDelete
  19. Dr. Kham herbal medicine is the best remedy for Herpes and HIV/AIDS, I was a carrier of Herpes and I saw a testimony on how Dr. Kham cure Herpes, I decided to have a contact with him and asked him for help and he started the remedies for my health and prepare the herbal medicine for me which i use to cure myself. Thank God, now everything is fine, I’m cured by Dr. Kham herbal medicine, I’m very thankful to Dr.Kham and i will not stop publishing his name on the internet because of the good work he did for me, You can reach him on his email: dr.khamcaregiver@gmail.com Or you can call and WhatsApp him on +2348159922297  Visit his Blog at https://drkhamcaregiver.blogspot.com/        

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    1. HIV/AIDS
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    ReplyDelete
  20. Having herpes or any kind of sickness/ disease is not the end of life, There are treatments to get rid of genital herpes/ disease with traditional herbs from Dr. Kham. I was positive about this infection (HERPES) and I lost hope because I was outcast and rejected even by my best friends. I searched on line to know more on how to eradicate this virus and enquirer about cure for herpes and i got a testimony posted by Dr. Kham patient on how she was cured from HSV-2, So i decided to contact the same herbalist Dr. Kham because i know that nature has the power to heal everything, So i contacted him to know he can help me and he told me never to worry that he will help me out with his natural herbs created by God Almighty! After 2 days of contacting him, He told me that the cure has been prepared and he will send it to me via (UPS DELIVERY SERVICES) and it got to me in 5 days! I used the medicine as he instructed me(MORNING AND EVENING)  and I was cured after taking the dosage for two weeks. It really looks like a dream to me but I am so happy now!! that is the reason i decided to also add more comment of Him to this blog because that was what i promise him that i would testify about his good work to the people if his herbal medicine would cure me, So if you need his help also, You can Email him on dr.khamcaregiver@gmail.com or Whatsapp him via +2348159922297 for more information you can visit his website: https://herbal-dr-kham.jimdosite.com or visit his blog: https://drkhamcaregiver.blogspot.com/

    ReplyDelete
  21. My health was horrible before I decided to try the Protocol Of taking Dr. Ebhota pure herbal mixture. I felt there was no hope for my health and I was to try the Protocol, thinking it wouldn’t work because I have visited so many hospital but same result. However, I was convinced by a Instagram friend to try the herbal medicine because I wanted to get rid of Herpes virus. The herbal mixture that was given to me was really quick and easy to take, within 2 week I was fully cured from Herpes. The herbal medicine really work and I will like to share this great doctor contact with you all email him drebhotasolution@gmail.com WhatsApp +2348089535482 you won't regret it, I promise. ,,//https://www.facebook.com/Dr-Ebhota-109469041179986/

    ReplyDelete
  22. The author has discussed a very resourceful topic in times of the pandemic. We, as a nation, cannot keep our children out of schools forever. Hence a plan needs to be implemented where children can safely go to school without getting mass infected. However, it is not recommended for parents or children to go physically to the shops for book supplies. Hence there is a need for an online book shop such as KitaabNow.

    ReplyDelete
  23. Living with herpes virus was the worst situation I've ever been in due to work and tending to my family needs but finally tested negative after using the herbal medicine I ordered from him. His Email drodiagbesolutionhome@gmail. com

    ReplyDelete
  24. I caught genital herpes from my ex boyfriend who never had any symptoms. I have had it for 4 months now,and it has affected my life. I have told my husband who I trusted about it and I have never had a bad reaction, it has affected my new relationships with my husband. People think herpes is really a minor skin irritation herpes has a long term effects on health. The stigma attached to this virus by ignorant people is ridiculous. Most people have herpes in one form or another. I would like to advise people on how i get rid of my herpes.i was reading a comment on the internet,and i saw a testimony posted by a woman from island that she get rid of her herpes with the help of doctor Oduku. so i was so happy when i saw that post,that his herbal medication is cheap.i quickly collect the herbal doctor email and i email him within 5 hr he respond to my email.i explain things to him he told me not to worry that i should fill his herbal form wish i did.he only request for little money that he will use to buy the items for the preparation of the herbal medicine,wish i send to him because the pain was too much for me to bear.after some days he told me that he has prepare the herbal medicine,that i should send him my address that he want to sent it to me via DHL or FED-EX that was how i got the herbal medication.and i use it as i was told.after few days i found out that my herpes was no more.when some of my friend who has herpes saw me they were surprise and i also introduce them to the man and they are also cure from the same herpes.if you have herpes,kindly contact doctor oduku via this email odukuherbalremedies@gmail.com ttps://www.facebook.com/Herpes-Eraser-102292594719987/ https://permanentnaturalherbalcure.wordpress.com/

    ReplyDelete
  25. Dr. OKUOFOH has really made me so much believe in him by getting me cured of Herpes with his herbal medicine. I have been a Herpes virus patient for some time now, I have been running here and there looking for help/cure but none could help. I ran into a testimony by someone who testified how she was cured of a terrible disease by Dr. OKUOFOH, so I decided to contact the herbal doctor. I explained to him, and he said he can cure me. We started the process and he prepared herbs and sent them to me in my country and gave me directions on how I am to use them. I followed his directions and now To God be the glory he could cure me with his herbal mixture. I really appreciate you Dr. OKUOFOH for bringing back happiness to my life again. thanks you so much friends that has join me to thank Dr. OKUOFOH for what he has actually done for me i pray to you all for a good life and property, his contact.
    Email ID, drokuofohherbalhomehealing@gmail.com
    , via whats-app +2349050141449.
    Thanks Dr. OKUOFOH for your help in my life and family... and most especially to you Dr. OKUOFOH THANKS.

    ReplyDelete


  26. To all infection,sickness or virus There is always a Herbal Treatment for it.


    Contact me if you suffer from:
    Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) and Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS) ...
    Chlamydia. ...
    Gonorrhea. ...
    Pelvic Inflammatory Disease (PID) ...
    Genital Warts and Human Papillomavirus (HPV) ...
    Genital Herpes (HSV-1, HSV-2) ...
    Syphilis. ... And Get Healed Naturally With Roots And Herbs.

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    EMAIL: dr.ireneherbalhome@gmail.com
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    ReplyDelete
  27. I was a HIV-AIDS patient and I got it from cheating on my wife. It was sort of a payback but a week later I was told by a friend that the person who I cheated with had the HIV-AIDS virus and did not tell me. I was so stupid by not using a condom I thought since he was an old school friend he was trustworthy. But I was wrong. I cried and cried. Two days later, I got a phone call from my friend and he told me about a person who is known by another friend, who can help me. I could not let my wife know what I was going through. I finally got his email address: oseremenspelltemple@gmail.com and I emailed this man my story and he replied me immediately saying i should be calm and told me that everything will be OK. I could not come to terms with what I was hearing but then I concluded it did not matter because I was so broken I just needed help. I was going out of my mind literally. I was confused with what he was telling me, but I listened. He told me about some materials i need to buy that he needed to cast the spell and I said OK. I bought the materials to him, I sent down my picture to him and my positive result sheet and he replied me that i am going to be negative under 3days. I message Him every 2hours for 2day and I knew he thought that I was crazy but I did care I needed a shoulder. Behold, the third day he messaged me i should go for a test that i will be negative. My marriage could be broken because of a stupid mistake and my life was on the line. I remembered when I was going to get the results of my re-test I called him up again and told him that I was going to get my results today and his reply was “so" and that everything will be as he explained. I knew then that he was getting tired of me calling him, maybe I was wrong. Well I got my results and the first person I called was him - again. As he said hello I started to cry and cry. I could not believe it. I was given a second chance in life.This man is a great spiritual HIV/AIDS healer, his healing spell on aids healing is very powerful .please brothers and sister, contact Dr Ose oseremenspelltemple@gmail.com
    whatsapp +2348136482342www.facebook.com/Dr-odion-spell-temple-110513923938220

    ReplyDelete
  28. I was diagnosed with herpes 1&2 and have been dealing with the virus for over 3 years, I recently got the cure with natural treatment. I read a testimony online about how he cure other people of their illness with herbal roots and herbs and I contacted him and gave him a try, after one month I got rid of herpes virus after drinking dr excel natural medicine, I will like to advice the world that natural herbs is the best way to cure this mess called herpes. I shared my experience with other patients who are suffering from herpes virus to get contact with excel, his email address.. excelherbalcure@gmail.com or Call him on +1 (859) 429 1007....his website https://excelherbalcure.com

    ReplyDelete
  29. HOW I GOT MY EX HUSBAND BACK WITH THE HELP OF REAL AND EFFECTIVE SPELL FROM DR Owo. I never thought I will smile again, My husband left me with two kids for 5 year, All effort to bring him back failed I thought I'm not going to see him again not until I met a lady called Lisa who told me about a spell caster called Dr Owo , She gave me his contact: drowoherbs@gmail.com I contacted him and he assured me that within 48hours my husband will come back to me, In less than 48hours my husband came back started begging for forgiveness saying it is the devils work, so I'm still surprise till now about this miracle, i couldn't conceive but as soon as the priest pray for me, i became pregnant and gave birth to my third child, My heart is filled up of happiness to share my life marriage and relationship story with you over here. If you need any assistance from him you can contact him via: drowoherbs@gmail.com

    ReplyDelete
  30. I had hepatitis B treatment back in 2019-2020, DR ERICSSON (World Herbs Clinic) HEPATITIS B herbal formula reversed my HBV under 3 months. I have been clear since December 2020. I had it rechecked the other day and the doctor says am hepatitis B FREE. All thanks to DR ERICSSON(drericworldherbs@dr.com).

    ReplyDelete
  31. Good day to you all.. I'm here to share my experience to everybody all around the world because I know that someone out there needs this today. I've been with my girlfriend for 3 years and everything was fine with us that we don't have to fight or quarrel for anything . My girlfriend got a new job and after 2 months of her new job, I noticed some changes in her. Few weeks before my birthday, my girlfriend broke up with me for another man. I never expected such from her. I was in severe pain and needed help urgently. I searched for help online and found Lord Zakuza who is a spell caster. I told him everything I was going through and he understood me well. He told me that he will prepare a love spell for me that will get my girlfriend back within 48 hours and he explained to me how it was going to be done and I agreed. He prepared the love spell for me and my girlfriend returned back to me begging me for forgiveness within 48 hours. I was shocked and happy and I accepted her back.. We are back together and everything is going fine. I want to thank Lord Zakuza for his help by sharing this testimony online for other people to find help too in any area of their lives. Get in touch with him with the below details. For he's good at what he does.

    WhatsApp/Call/Text +1 (740) 573-9483
    Email: Lordzakuza7@gmail.com

    ReplyDelete

  32. Nothing can compare the joy in my heart for being free from this terrible disease Herpes, for a long time i suffer from it not until i saw a review on how Dr Onuwa someone from Herpes. I contact him and bought his herbal medicine, surprisingly for me i was cured.no problem that Dr.ONUWA can’t solve. HIS MAIL ADDRESS____ DRONUWA2@gmail.com or whatsapp +2348115914591 cure and also beware of scams Good Luck He cure listed diseases CANCER HEPATITIS A AND B DIABETIC. HIV

    ReplyDelete
  33. Dr. Ehimare has really made me so much believe in him by getting me cured of Herpes with his herbal medicine. I have been a Herpes virus patient for some time now, I have been running here and there looking for help/cure but none could help. I ran into a testimony by someone who testified how she was cured of a terrible disease by Dr. Ehimare, so I decided to contact the herbal doctor. I explained to him, and he said he can cure me. We started the process and he prepared herbs and sent them to me in my country and gave me directions on how I am to use them. I followed his directions and now To God be the glory he could cure me with his herbal mixture. I really appreciate you Dr. Ehimare for bringing back happiness to my life again. thanks you so much friends that has join me to thank Dr. Ehimare for what he has actually done for me i pray to you all for a good life and property, his contact. Email address drehimare3@gmail.com , via whats-app +1 (267) 691-1087 Thanks Dr. Ehimare for your help in my life and family... and most especially to you Dr. THANKS. 

    ReplyDelete
  34. I want to thank Dr.Excel coz he is the only herbal doctor that was able to cure my herpes after I got infected with that f**kin disease, Am happy that's a thing of the past now. contact Dr.Excel today he is also here in Colorado. web Excelherbalcure.com call and send message on WhatsApp +1 (859) 429 1007

    ReplyDelete
  35. God is Good!
    I promised God that I would share my testimony on this website. I had all the signs of STD Virus but I was not too sure as to which one. I did a lot of online research and scared myself straight for a whole week before going to see the nurse. She took one look at my genital part and first said that it could just be the anatomy of my body, then she said it looked like genital warts and that I MAY have herpes. I was devastated. She gave me some medicine for the herpes and some cream for the warts. I was also tested for every single STD including herpes. I went home and cried searching the web for all sorts of cures for herpes and awaiting my results. I saw a post whereby Dr. Kham cured Herpes and other diseases, I copied his contacts out and added him on whats app via +2348159922297. The next day my test result was ready and I confirmed Herpes positive. I told Dr. Kham about my health problems and he assured me of a cure. He prepared his herbal medicine and sent it to me. I took it for 14 days (2 weeks). Before the completion of the 14 days in which I completed the dose, the Blisters and Warts that were on my body were cleared. I went back for a check-up and I was told I'm free from the virus. Dr. Kham cures all types of diseases and viruses with the help of his herbal medicine. You can reach Dr. Kham via his email address on (dr.khamcaregiver@gmail.com) or call him on +2348159922297 and whats app him on the same number, but You can Also Visit his website to know more about him at https://herbal-dr-kham.jimdosite.com/ or visit his Blog at https://drkhamcaregiver.blogspot.com/ for more info.

    ReplyDelete
  36. My husband left me with two kids for 5 year, All effort to bring him back failed I thought I'm not going to see him again not until I met a lady called Lisa who told me about a spell caster called Dr Odogwu , She gave me his contact drodogwusolutioncenter@gmail.com I contacted him and he assured me that within 48hours my husband will come back to me, In less than 48hours my husband came back started begging for forgiveness saying it is the devils work, so I'm still surprise till now about this miracle, i couldn't conceive but as soon as the priest pray for me, i became pregnant and gave birth to my third child, My heart is filled up of happiness to share my life marriage and relationship story with you over here. If you need any assistance from him you can contact him via email:drodogwusolutioncenter@gmail.com good luck.

    ReplyDelete
  37. DR ISIKOLO GOT MY HUSBAND BACK TO ME. I wake up everyday with a smile on my face and singing praises to this powerful spell caster called Dr Isikolo who has done me a great favor by rescuing my relationship from break up. I used to think that i have a perfect relationship till when my lover started coming home late and everyday he gives me different excuses then i decided to keep a close eye on him then i discovers that he was having an affair with another girl. I was heart broken because i trusted him so much and knowing that he has a secret relationship, hurts me a lot and he was longer paying attention to me or showing me love. Before i knoew it, he left me for the girl and i was in deep mess loosing him to another woman. But i thank all those who placed the contact information of Dr Isikolo on the Internet because through that i have been able to contact Dr Isikolo and he helped me got him back in 48 hours and today my relationship has been restored with love and strong emotional connection than ever before. If you are in any kind of relationship or marriage stress i will do you a favor by dropping the contact information's of Dr ISIKOLO which are via email: isikolosolutionhome@gmail.com or you can also WhatsApp him on +2348133261196.

    ReplyDelete
  38. I have been suffering from a deadly disease (Hsv) for the past 2 years now, I had spent a lot of money going from one places to another, from churches to churches, hospitals have been my home every day residence. Constant checks up have been my hobby not until this faithful day, I was searching through the internet, I saw a testimony on how Dr Ehimare helped someone in curing his (Hsv) herpes disease, quickly I copied his email which is drehimare3@gmail.com just to give him a test I spoke to him, he asked me to do some certain things which I did, he told me that he is going to provide the herbal cure to me, which he did, then he asked me to go for medical checkup after some days after using the herbal cure, behold I was free from the deadly disease, he only asked me to post the testimony through the whole world, faithfully am doing it now, please brothers and sisters, he is great, I owe him in return. if you are having a similar problem just email him on Drehimare3@gmail.com Or whatsapp him via +1 (267) 691-1087

    ReplyDelete
  39. I got Diagnosed with Herpes, I have be dealing with Herpes for the past 4 years. On till I got review online about natural cure people testifies how DR. Ehimare cure them with his herbal treatment. And I order the treatment, after taking it for 21 days I totally got cured with DR. Ehimare treatment. I'm recommending you diagnosis with herpes should get this treatment and be cured of it you can contact his email address via; drehimare3@gmail. com or you can also call or whatsapp +1 (267) 681-1087Dr. Ehimare also cure the following virus and many more... 1} Cancer 2} Diabetes 3} Hepatitis 4} fibroid 5} herpes 6} Lupus

    ReplyDelete
  40. I use to be a very poor woman who has always not find luck when it comes to playing the lottery. I have been playing lottery since i was 21 years and now i am 45 meaning i have been playing lottery for 24 years. The biggest amount i have ever won in my life was 400 bucks. But one day my story turns to history after i find this man name on the Internet that he is the best when it comes to winning lottery. This man is a very strong voodoo doc who gives out the numbers that can never fail. After all my years of laboring and struggling to win the lottery i finally won ( $27,000,000) Dr Alli is the name, Email: allispellhelp1@gmail.com or contact him on his whatsApp number +2348100772528 this is the only way to win the lottery and the best way

    ReplyDelete
  41. I was diagnosed of herpes 3 years, and ever since then i have been taking treatment to prevent outbreaks, burning and blisters, but there was no improvement until i came across testimonies of Dr. VOODOO on how he has been curing different people from different diseases all over the world, then i contacted him. After our conversation he sent me the medicine which i took according to his instructions for up to 2 weeks. After completing the medication i went back to my doctor for another test and the virus was all gone and i was completely cured, since then i have not had any signs of outbreak. I'm so filled with joy. With herbal medication Herpes Virus is 100% curable. I refer Dr VOODOO to everyone out there with the virus Email: voodoospelltemple66@gmail.com Add Dr voodoo on whatsApp +2348140120719

    ReplyDelete
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  45. There is a great herbal man called Dr voodoo who can cure Hepatitis B virus and other deadly diseases with the use of natural herbs to cure Hepatitis B virus problems. He is from Africa and he is a great doctor and he can also cure you as well if you are have the problem And other deadly disease and here is email address voodoospelltemple66@gmail.com or Whatsapp +2348140120719 HERPES CURE,CANCER CURE,HIV/AIDS CURE,HPV CURE

    ReplyDelete
  46. Hello everyone i was diagnosed of herpes simplex virus for about 8 months ,I’ve lost all hope and my doctor said there is no possible cure and I have been taken antiviral to sustain myself I have had several out break from the time I was diagnosed till I got to know about Dr.Ebhota through a friend who he cured of Herpes . I contacted him and he sent me his herbal remedy which I took as he directed me to do for some days and I went to the hospital after consuming his Herbal medicine and I was confirmed Herpes Negative after 8 months of pains and depression , it was indeed a miracle, Dr.ebhota is a great man, I have heard so much about how he has help lot of people, He also cure ALS, HEPATITIS B, CANCER, HERPES, DIABETES and lots more. If you have any issues you can contact him for help add him on whatsapp +2348089535482. or via email:Email drebhotasolution@gmail.com

    ReplyDelete
  47. I have suffered from herpes since I was young. It is only the last few years I got to know so I started to look for a cure. I went to several hospitals but to no avail. So I came here online to see if I could find a cure so I came across a page here a man was sharing testimonies about Dr Ohikhobo for his natural herbs cure for herpes so I decided to give it a try it only took two weeks of me taking his herbs and I was completely cured from herpes. contact Dr Ohikhobo today if you want to be cured from herpes or any kind of disease too .
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    His WhatsApp +1-740-231-2427

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